Responses of dryland soil respiration and soil carbon pool size to abrupt vs. gradual and individual vs. combined changes in soil temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric [CO₂]: a simulation analysis

With the large extent and great amount of soil carbon (C) storage, drylands play an important role in terrestrial C balance and feedbacks to climate change. Yet, how dryland soils respond to gradual and concomitant changes in multiple global change drivers [e.g., temperature (T_s), precipitation (Ppt), and atmospheric [CO₂] (CO₂)] has rarely been studied. We used a process-based ecosystem model patch arid land simulator to simulate dryland soil respiration (R_s) and C pool size (C_s) changes to abrupt vs. gradual and single vs. combined alterations in T_s, Ppt and CO₂ at multiple treatment levels. Results showed that abrupt perturbations generally resulted in larger R_s and had longer differentiated impacts than did gradual perturbations. R_s was stimulated by increases in T_s, Ppt, and CO₂ in a nonlinear fashion (e.g., parabolically or asymptotically) but suppressed by Ppt reduction. Warming mainly stimulated heterotrophic R_s (i.e., R_h) whereas Ppt and CO₂ influenced autotrophic R_s (i.e., R_a). The combined effects of warming, Ppt, and CO₂ were nonadditive of primary single-factor effects as a result of substantial interactions among these factors. Warming amplified the effects of both Ppt addition and CO₂ elevation whereas Ppt addition and CO₂ elevation counteracted with each other. Precipitation reduction either magnified or suppressed warming and CO₂ effects, depending on the magnitude of factor's alteration and the components of R_s (R_a or R_h) being examined. Overall, Ppt had dominant influence on dryland R_s and C_s over T_s and CO₂. Increasing Ppt individually or in combination with T_s and CO₂ benefited soil C sequestration. We therefore suggested that global change experimental studies for dryland ecosystems should focus more on the effects of precipitation regime changes and the combined effects of Ppt with other global change factors (e.g., T_s, CO₂, and N deposition).